The Russian Ministry of Defense has prepared a forecast of the global military-political situation up to 2045, which includes plans for an end to Ukraine as an independent state, according to Kyiv Post‘s intelligence sources.
Moscow reportedly intends to convey this plan to the new US administration through foreign governments and representatives.
The document proposes dividing Ukraine into three parts, as previously reported by Interfax-Ukraine:
Fully and partially occupied regions of Ukraine, which Moscow seeks to officially annex as part of Russia.
The territory around Kyiv, referred to by Moscow as a “pro-Russian state entity” – a puppet state with pro-Russian authorities and Russian military presence.
Western regions of Ukraine, referred to as “disputed territories” with their fate, to be determined in negotiations involving Russia, Poland, Hungary, and Romania.
The Kremlin’s Four Options for Global Order
Additionally, Ukrainian intelligence has obtained a Kremlin document outlining four potential scenarios for the development of wider international processes, two of which Russia considers most favorable:
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- “Formation of a multipolar world,” where major powers divide spheres of influence.
- “Regionalization or chaos,” which implies a weakening of the global order.
- “Dominance of the U.S. and the West”
- “China emerging as the leading global power
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In the first two scenarios, the Kremlin expects to secure victory in the war with Ukraine leading to favorable changes in global politics. The second two scenarios are deemed unfavorable by Russia., according to Kyiv Post.
These could materialize if Moscow loses the war or the conflict becomes frozen.Russia has devised a “plan for dividing Ukraine.” However, it is not feasible at this time, states Mykhailo Podolyak, advisor to the head of the President’s Office, in a comment to the RBC-Ukraine YouTube channel.
On Wednesday, November 20, the Western agency Reuters, citing sources in the Kremlin, reported the alleged readiness of Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss with Trump the end of the war in Ukraine, but on strict conditions.
New York Rep. Elise Stefanik, President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for US ambassador to the United Nations, is now refusing to stand by her previous push for Ukraine’s NATO membership — a stance she once framed as critical to regional stability.
Her office also declined to say whether she still believes Russia committed genocide in Ukraine, as she said in 2022.
In 2022, Stefanik urged NATO to admit the nation, especially as Russia’s invasion escalated. At the time, she argued for extensive military aid support, highlighting the Trump administration’s previous providing of Javelin missiles.
President Joe Biden does not plan to push Congress to pass additional Ukraine aid and will instead focus on distributing assistance that has already been approved, according to USA Today.
Biden’s administration is racing to transfer weapons to Ukraine before the outgoing president leaves office in January.
Equipment has been slow to move in recent weeks, and a revised estimate from the Pentagon puts the amount the Biden administration has at its disposal higher than was previously known.
Before the U.S. presidential election, Biden ordered the Department of Defense to release all of the remaining security assistance that Congress appropriated for Ukraine before the end of his term.
He authorized the transfer of $5.5 billion in equipment to ensure his administration could “fully utilize the funding appropriated by Congress to support the drawdown of U.S. equipment for Ukraine and then replenish U.S. stockpiles.”
The Pentagon now says it has up to $7.1 billion authorized through Biden’s presidential authority that it can use to supply Ukraine with weapons.
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